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Sally is packing for a holiday when she realizes that she only has enough room in her suitcase for two pairs of shoes. She randomly selects two pairs to pack from the 31 pairs of shoes that she owns in total.

If Sally has 6 pairs of high heels, what is the probability that she packs at least one pair of these?

Probability =__________

Respuesta :

Using the hypergeometric distribution, it is found that there is a 0.3548 = 35.48% probability that she packs at least one pair of high heels.

What is the hypergeometric distribution formula?

The formula is:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

[tex]C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}[/tex]

The parameters are:

  • x is the number of successes.
  • N is the size of the population.
  • n is the size of the sample.
  • k is the total number of desired outcomes.

In this problem, we have that:

  • She has 31 pairs of shoes, hence N = 31.
  • She has 6 pairs of high heels, hence k = 6.
  • She selects two pairs, hence n = 2.

The probability that she packs at least one pair of high heels is given by:

[tex]P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)[/tex]

In which:

[tex]P(X = x) = h(x,N,n,k) = \frac{C_{k,x}C_{N-k,n-x}}{C_{N,n}}[/tex]

[tex]P(X = 0) = h(0,31,2,6) = \frac{C_{6,0}C_{25,2}}{C_{31,2}} = 0.6452[/tex]

Then:

[tex]P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) = 1 - 0.6452 = 0.3548[/tex]

0.3548 = 35.48% probability that she packs at least one pair of high heels.

More can be learned about the hypergeometric distribution at https://brainly.com/question/24826394

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