According to an​ article, 75​% of high school seniors have a​ driver's license. Suppose we take a random sample of 300 high school seniors and find the proportion who have a​ driver's license. Find the probability that more than 77​% of the sample have a​ driver's license. Begin by verifying that the conditions for the Central Limit Theorem for Sample Proportions have been met

Respuesta :

Using the normal distribution and the central limit theorem, it is found that there is a 0.2119 = 21.19% probability that more than 77​% of the sample have a​ driver's license.

Normal Probability Distribution

In a normal distribution with mean [tex]\mu[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]\sigma[/tex], the z-score of a measure X is given by:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

  • It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.
  • After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
  • By the Central Limit Theorem, for a proportion p in a sample of size n, the sampling distribution of sample proportion is approximately normal with mean [tex]\mu = p[/tex] and standard deviation [tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}}[/tex], as long as [tex]np \geq 10[/tex] and [tex]n(1 - p) \geq 10[/tex].

In this problem, we have that:

  • 75​% of high school seniors have a​ driver's license, hence p = 0.75.
  • A sample of 300 is taken, hence n = 300.

The conditions are verified because:

np = 300 x 0.75 = 225 > 10.

n(1-p) = 300 x 0.25 = 75 > 10.

The mean and the standard error are given by:

[tex]\mu = p = 0.75[/tex]

[tex]s = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.75(0.25)}{300}} = 0.025[/tex]

The probability that more than 77​% of the sample have a​ driver's license is one subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 0.77, hence:

[tex]Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

By the Central Limit Theorem

[tex]Z = \frac{0.77 - 0.75}{0.025}[/tex]

Z = 0.8

Z = 0.8 has a p-value of 0.7881.

1 - 0.7881 = 0.2119.

0.2119 = 21.19% probability that more than 77​% of the sample have a​ driver's license.

To learn more about the normal distribution and the central limit theorem, you can check https://brainly.com/question/24663213