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The company is considering the purchase of machinery and equipment to set up a line to produce a combination washer-dryer. They have given you the following information to analyze the project on a 5-year timeline:
Initial cash outlay is $150,000, no residual value.
Sales price is expected to be $2,250 per unit, with $595 per unit in labor expense and $795 per unit in materials.
Direct fixed costs are estimated to run $20,750 per month.
Cost of capital is 8%, and the required rate of return is 10%.
They will incur all operational costs in Year 1, though sales are expected to be 55% of break-even.
Break-even (considering only direct fixed costs) is expected to occur in Year 2.
Variable costs will increase 2% each year, starting in Year 3.
Sales are estimated to grow by 10%, 15%, and 20% for years 3 - 5.
Then to calculate:
The product’s contribution margin
Break-even quantity
NPV
IRR
Finally:
Explain how the project analyses do or do not support this decision.
In either case, what are the factors that should have been considered in management’s decision?

Respuesta :

Answer:

Break-even quantity = 290 units

NPV = -$150,038.78  

IRR = -12.07%

This project should be rejected because it has a negative NPV and IRR. You would not be able to even recover your own investment, the sales output is too small.

Explanation:

initial outlay -$150,000

selling price per unit $2,250

production costs:

  • labor $595
  • materials $795

total fixed costs $20,750

contribution margin per unit = $2,250 - ($595 + $795) = $860

contribution margin year 3 = $2,250 - $1,417.80 = $832.20

contribution margin year 4 = $2,250 - $1,446.16 = $803.84

contribution margin year 4 = $2,250 - $1,475.08 = $774.92

in order to calculate the break even point in units we must determine the total fixed costs per year = $20,750 x 12 = $249,000

break even point in units = $249,000 / $860 = 289.5 ≈ 290 units

sales during first year = 290 x 55% = 159.5 ≈ 160 units

sales during second year = 290 units

sales during third year = 290 x 1.1 = 319 units

sales during fourth year = 319 x 1.15 = 366.85 ≈ 367 units

sales during fifth year = 367 x 1.2 = 440.4 ≈ 440 units

net cash flow year 1 = $137,600 - $249,000 = -$111,400

net cash flow year 2 = $249,400 - $249,000 = $400

net cash flow year 3 = $265,471.80 - $249,000 = $16,471.80

net cash flow year 4 = $295,009.28 - $249,000 = $46,009.28

net cash flow year 5 = $340,964.80 - $249,000 = $91,964.80

using a financial calculator and a 10% discount rate, NPV = -$150,038.78  and IRR = -12.07%

In this exercise we have to use finance knowledge to calculate the quantity and taxes calculated on the product, so we have to:

1)  [tex]Break-even \ quantity = 290 units\\NPV = -$150,038.78 \\IRR = -12.07%[/tex]

2) This project should be rejected because it has a negative NPV and IRR. You would not be able to even recover your own investment, the sales output is too small.

Given the values ​​in the text of:

  • Initial outlay [tex]\$150,000[/tex]
  • Selling price per unit [tex]\$2,250[/tex]
  • Labor [tex]\$595[/tex]
  • Materials [tex]\$795[/tex]
  • Total fixed costs [tex]\$20,750[/tex]

Now calculating the margin for each unit we find that:

  • Contribution margin per unit: [tex]\$2,250 - (\$595 + \$795) = \$860[/tex]
  • Contribution margin year 3: [tex]\$2,250 - \$1,417.80 = \$832.20[/tex]
  • Contribution margin year 4: [tex]\$2,250 - \$1,446.16 = \$803.84[/tex]
  • Contribution margin year 5: [tex]\$2,250 - \$1,475.08 = \$774.92[/tex]

Knowing that break even point in units it is worth it 290, we have to:  

  • Sales during year 1:  [tex]290 * 55\% = 159.5 = 160 \ units[/tex]
  • Sales during year 2: [tex]290 \ units[/tex]
  • Sales during year 3: [tex]290 * 1.1 = 319 \ units[/tex]
  • Sales during year 4: [tex]319 * 1.15 = 366.85 = 367 \ units[/tex]
  • Sales during year 5: [tex]367* 1.2 = 440.4= 440\ units[/tex]

So to calculate the net cash we found that:

  • Net cash flow year 1: [tex]\$137,600 - \$249,000 = -\$111,400[/tex]
  • Net cash flow year 2:  [tex]\$249,400 - \$249,000 = \$400[/tex]
  • Net cash flow year 3: [tex]\$265,471.80 - \$249,000 = \$16,471.80[/tex]
  • Net cash flow year 4:  [tex]\$295,009.28 - \$249,000 = \$46,009.28[/tex]
  • Net cash flow year 5:  [tex]\$340,964.80 - \$249,000 = \$91,964.80[/tex]

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