5. IS-LM model and the value of Commitment (30 Points) This question will help you understand the IS-LM model in great detail. We derive the IS-LM model. There is a single household that is alive for two periods: 1-o AL¹+e 1+e -σ Be U = + 1-0 1-o where c₁and care consumption of the production good in each period and L is the household's labor supply in period 1. The budget constraints in both periods are: C₁ + K = W P1 -L+ II₁, KK + K. P2 C2 = Here, II stand for the profits of monopolistic behaving firms. Here households invest in capital K only to invest in it and rent it out later. Production in each period is produced by firms operating the following technologies: Y₁ = L, Y₂ = K¹-a Different from model's we've seen before, now the household invests directly in capital, and then rents it to firms at time t = 2. (a) [5 points, easy] Demonstrate that the labor supply is given by W = OLE. P1 (b) [5 points, easy] Show that the households optimal investment in K is given by (the Euler equation): (a₁ - 0 1 - ) * = 3 (1 + x^³) (0₂2) *. (c) [2 points, easy] Show that if firms at t = 2 behave competitively, the maximization of their profits leads to the following equilibrium return on capital: 1/α pk = (1-a) K-° → K = --α) rk (d) [3 points, easy] Assume that firms ideally want to charge a markup relative to marginal costs given by: Pi = Cq η 7-1 markup where the nominal marginal cost is simply the wage: Cq = w. We assume that n/ (n − 1) > 1. Show that the target individual price is given by: Pi = P₁0L². η n-1' (e) [5 points, easy] Assume that the Central Bank, that is, the Federal Reserve can chose a quantity of money M, to target an interest interest rate i. Furthermore, it guarantees and inflation rate between t = 1 and t = 2 given by 72, which we can treat as exogenous. We won't care about how it achieves this policy at t = 2. Argue that in that case, the Central Bank determines the real return on capital: pk = i-π2, thereby affecting real investment in the economy. (f) [10 points, Intermediate] We now derive the IS curve. We assume that all firms fix their prices in advance, prior to the governments choice. Use the production function Y = L to show that the I-S equation in this version of the new-Keynesian model is given by the following relationship between output and the nominal interest rate: 1/a (1-a)/a 1 Y1/(1+e) Y 0- 1+ ε - [¹-g]¹'ª + Ø [µ + ·-„‚·] [¹-ª]-a)/ = π2. [(1 i π2 π2. Hint: us that Y : K + c₁, and substitute this condition into the Euler equation. Demonstrate that the relationship between these Y and i is negative, that is, for a higher interest rate, output is declining. Draw this curve. What are the effects of increases in interest rates today? What happens if the private sector expects higher inflation in the future? Is higher future inflation expansionary or recessionary? (g) [Intermediate] From now on, we demonstrate the value of commitment to low inflation. Argue that if there was no monopolistic power, output would be efficient and equivalent to: Y* = [1/0]¹/€. Hint: setup the Lagrangian of the planner's problem and take the first order condition with respect to L and the replace the production function. (h) [Hard] For this question, you ust read chapter 15.2. We now consider a game between the government and the private sector. We assume that u firms can chose the ideal price: pf = w η n-1 the other set of firms is stuck at a given price, chosen in advance, given the expectation of p₁, that is E [p1]: n p³ = E [p₁] OL. η 1' - Recall that: P₁ = μp + (1 -μ) p³. Show that if the government wants to target Y*, we have that: η ps = E [p₁]. 7-1 And using: = μp³ + (1 -µ) p³, show that: ps μ7²-1 1 - (1 -μ)²1 -E [w]. (i) [Hard] Show that for any choice of E [w], the government would want to surprises firms with even higher wages. What are the consequences of this? Do you think this type of behavior can lead to an ever increasing spiral of inflation. What would be the effects on output if an inflationary spiral is expected? P1 =