The probability that gerald makes a three-point shot in basketball is 20\%20%20, percent. For practice, gerald will regularly shoot a series of these shots until he succeeds at one. He's curious how many shots it will typically take him to get his first successful shot. He simulated 404040 trials of three-point shots where each shot had a 0. 20. 20, point, 2 probability of being successful, and in each trial, he counted how many shots it took to get the first successful shot. Here are his results:.